The stability around 30% could be read two ways. On one hand, it may simply mean that current models and tooling are producing roughly the same proportion of merge-ready code as they were last quarter. However, there’s reason to believe something else is going on. The second half of 2025—particularly November and December—is widely regarded as a turning point for AI-assisted development. Models like Opus 4.5 represented a significant leap in capability, and some have gone so far as to say that anything before November 2025 shouldn’t even be used as a baseline, given how much changed in a short window.

If that’s true, then the more likely explanation for the stability around 30% is that most teams haven’t yet fully adapted to take advantage of those improvements. New models don’t automatically translate to more merged AI code; developers still need to update their workflows, build trust in the output, and find the right use cases for more capable tools.

Hace sentido con lo que estoy viendo en el campo. No se trata nada más de usar un nuevo modelo, sino de crear la infraestructura necesaria para aprovecharlo. Mi predicción es que se va a mantener en estos niveles por un tiempo, pero eventualmente va a llegar un punto donde se van a abrir las compuertas de la presa y no va a haber vuelta atrás.